Orioles take a gamble on injury-prone Astros outfielder, betting on a big comeback .MH

Between the medical file and the raw tools lies the reason Baltimore was willing to pounce. The leash is short; the upside isn’t

The Orioles have spent the last two years proving you can be both ruthless and creative on the margins. Waiver claims, option plays, buy-low bets — Baltimore has turned other teams’ clutter into real value while refusing to panic-spend just because the contention window cracked open early. So when the transaction wire spit out “Pedro León claimed from Houston,” it didn’t read as desperation; it read like another very specific kind of Orioles bet: if we’re going to gamble, we’re doing it on tools and upside, not vibes and name value.
This one, however, comes with real volatility. León isn’t just a former top prospect; he’s the poster child for how quickly a hyped timeline can buckle under swing-and-miss issues and a brutal run of injuries. Houston once paid him like a future cornerstone out of Cuba and fast-tracked him as if he’d be a multi-position weapon in the heart of their next core.
Orioles swipe Pedro León from Astros and dare their system to fix him

Instead, as the Astros trimmed their 40-man, he became expendable, more theoretical than tangible, more rehab report than MLB contributor. For a Baltimore club recalibrating its depth chart and trying to climb back into an AL arms race, claiming León is equal parts clever and cold-blooded: either you finally become the player Houston thought you were, or you’re gone as quickly as you arrived.
Strip away the prospect gloss, and the profile is blunt. León is 27, heading toward 28, with only a tiny sample of big-league run and very little to show for it so far: a handful of games, a stack of strikeouts, and none of the impact contact his early reputation promised. The minor league body of work paints the same uneasy picture, on-base ability and flashes of pop undermined by a strikeout rate that never really came down to something sustainable.
That’s the red flag Baltimore is staring at: this isn’t a kid still figuring out pro ball, it’s a near-28-year-old whose approach never fully caught up. You’re not just betting on health; you’re betting on late-course correction against major-league pitching.
The health piece is also no footnote. León’s development has been sawed in half by an exhausting list of physical setbacks: a broken finger here, a facial fracture there, core surgery, then the left knee injury that helped derail his 2025 entirely and pushed him onto the waiver wire in the first place. One injury can be bad luck. This many in a four-year span reshapes how front offices view you.
They don’t see “injury-prone” as an insult; they see it as a probability table. Baltimore is choosing to stare that table down and say, “For this price, we’ll live with it.”

What makes this interesting is how specifically León fits the Orioles’ preferred experiment. If he’s right, you’re talking about a player with enough arm for right field, enough speed to not embarrass you in center, and the kind of raw power that doesn’t need 650 plate appearances to change a game.
If he doesn’t make those adjustments — if the chase, the timing, the availability don’t move — Baltimore shrugs, cuts, and moves on. This front office has shown zero fear in cycling through fringe pieces until one hits; León is just the latest lottery ticket stapled to a contending roster.



