⚡ The Dallas Cowboys face the Eagles with more than a win on the line—Sunday could change their entire season.QQ
Playoffs sound like a dream for the Dallas Cowboys. But Week 12 could boost their chances.
For the Dallas Cowboys, it’s one game at a time. It has to be. At 4-5-1, they need six wins in their last seven games to get to 10 wins, which feels like the magic number to even aspire for a playoff spot. Last year, the Seattle Seahawks missed the postseason despite double-digit wins.
Can they do it? Going 6-1 against one of the toughest schedules in the NFL moving forward won’t be easy. It wouldn’t be easy even with an easy stretch of games. But what do the numbers actually say? And would a win against the Philadelphia Eagles do for the Cowboys’ playoff chances? Let’s dive in.
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Cowboys could almost double their playoff chances with a win over the Eagles
Per the Next Gen Stats playoff probability model used by the NFL’s official website, the Cowboys currently have a 6% chance of making the playoffs. It fits with FTN’s calculations at 6.9%—which also integrate DVOA efficiency ratings adjusted for opponents.
Beating the Eagles at home, however, could almost double the Cowboys’ playoff chances, however. Per the model, Dallas’ chances jump to 11% with a win in Week 12. Fittingly, a loss would cut them in half as it would be projected to drop to 3%.
Now granted, even 11% isn’t a high number. However, near doubling postseason odds by beating a division rival could be huge for the Cowboys’ morale. It would certainly get fans excited as well. Most importantly though, a Dallas win could spark confidence on the team’s defense, which played much better following the additions of Quinnen Williams and many others. For now, the question remains: Can they do it against a quality opponent?
The Eagles, despite struggles they’re going through, are a quality opponent. Jalen Hurts, Saquon Barkley, DeVonta Smith, and A.J. Brown will be much tougher to defend than the Raiders’ playmakers. Beating Philly at home would prove it’s a legit defense.
From significantly improving playoff odds to beating a top rival, and proving the defense is scary, Eagles at Cowboys is already looking like the biggest game of the season.
